The crypto market has seen significant volatility this week, particularly influenced by events that unfolded on October 12, 2024.

Key events shaping the market include Bitcoin's recent surge and the aftermath of regulatory and legal developments.

Here’s a breakdown of the latest updates and a technical analysis for what could happen after October 13, 2024.

Major Market Movers

Bitcoin's Price Surge

On October 12, 2024, Bitcoin experienced a notable increase in its value, reaching $64,327.

This upward movement was primarily driven by over $43.97 million in short positions being liquidated.

Additionally, the effects of Bitcoin's halving earlier this year, which reduced miner rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC, continue to contribute to supply constraints.

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have led to long-term price increases due to reduced supply coupled with increased demand​.

FTX Bankruptcy Hearings

The ongoing FTX bankruptcy hearings have created a layer of uncertainty in the market, although the broader sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.

The outcome of these hearings could have a profound impact on the future of centralized exchanges, as well as on user trust in crypto platforms.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs Boost Demand

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs has provided more accessibility to institutional investors, which has increased demand for Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies.

This move toward greater mainstream adoption is expected to fuel further long-term price appreciation​.

Market Outlook

Several technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies could see some short-term corrections, as overbought signals have emerged.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback in the near future.

However, the long-term outlook remains bullish, especially as the effects of the Bitcoin halving continue to play out and institutional interest through ETFs grows.

Potential Scenarios

• Short-Term Volatility: With Bitcoin's RSI indicating overbought conditions, a brief correction could be expected in the coming days. Prices may retrace slightly before stabilizing at a new support level.

• Long-Term Growth: Despite potential short-term corrections, the ongoing reduction in Bitcoin supply due to the halving and increased institutional interest via ETFs suggest that the market is on a positive trajectory for the long term.

Conclusion

The crypto market has been shaped by major events over the past few days, including Bitcoin's price surge, legal developments in the FTX case, and the increased adoption of Bitcoin ETFs.

While short-term volatility may arise, especially with overbought conditions, the long-term outlook remains positive for major cryptocurrencies as supply constraints and institutional demand drive prices higher.

As always, investors should remain cautious and prepared for potential fluctuations, but the overall trend for the market is looking optimistic as we move forward from October 13, 2024.